Conceptual Shift: This model describes how disease patterns change as a country develops economically and socially.
Stage 1 (Infectious): High prevalence of communicable diseases and high mortality rates due to poor sanitation and lack of medical care.
Stage 2 (Transition): Improved hygiene and medicine lead to a decline in infectious diseases and an increase in life expectancy.
Stage 3 (Degenerative): Non-communicable, lifestyle-related diseases (e.g., obesity, heart disease) become the primary causes of morbidity and mortality.
| Term | Focus | Measurement |
|---|---|---|
| Incidence | New cases | Number of new diagnoses in a specific period |
| Prevalence | Total cases | Total number of people living with the disease |
| Endemic | Constant presence | Disease is always found in a specific region |
| Epidemic | Sudden outbreak | Rapid spread of disease beyond normal levels |
Distinguish Rates from Totals: Always check if a question asks for a 'rate' (per 1,000) or a 'total count'. Using the wrong unit is a common way to lose marks.
Causal Links: When discussing environmental health, always link the factor to the specific biological outcome (e.g., 'Stagnant water leads to mosquito breeding, which increases malaria transmission').
HALE vs. Life Expectancy: Remember that HALE is always lower than or equal to Life Expectancy. If your calculated HALE is higher, you have made a calculation error.
Transition Model Application: Be prepared to identify which stage of the Epidemiological Transition a country is in based on its ratio of communicable to non-communicable diseases.