Probability Constraints: For any discrete probability distribution, two conditions must be met: every individual probability must be between 0 and 1 (), and the sum of all probabilities must equal exactly 1 ().
Expected Value (Mean): The mean (or ) represents the long-run average outcome if the experiment were repeated many times. It is calculated as the weighted average of all possible values:
Variance and Standard Deviation: Variance () measures the average squared deviation from the mean: . The standard deviation is the square root of the variance and provides a measure of spread in the original units of the variable.
Cumulative Distributions: A cumulative probability distribution sums the probabilities of all outcomes up to and including . This is useful for finding the probability that a variable falls within a range, such as .
Linear Transformations: When a random variable is transformed by , the new mean is . However, the standard deviation is only affected by the multiplicative constant: .
Linear Combinations: For two random variables and , the mean of their sum is always the sum of their means: . If the variables are independent, the variances also add: .
| Feature | (Two Observations) | (Doubling One Observation) |
|---|---|---|
| Mean | ||
| Variance | (if independent) | |
| Concept | Summing two independent trials | Scaling a single result |
The 'Sum to One' Check: Always verify that the probabilities in a given table sum to 1. If a variable is missing, subtract the sum of the known probabilities from 1 to find it.
At Least / At Most: Pay close attention to inequality phrasing. 'At least 2' means , which is . 'More than 2' means , which is .
Independence Requirement: Never add variances unless the problem explicitly states the random variables are independent. If they are dependent, the standard formula for the variance of a sum does not apply.
Calculator Efficiency: For complex distributions, enter outcomes into one list and probabilities into another. Use '1-Variable Statistics' with the probability list as the frequency to find and quickly.