| Factor | Natural Increase | Net Migration |
|---|---|---|
| Calculation | ||
| Impact | Affects the base and overall slope | Creates specific bulges in working-age groups |
| Drivers | Healthcare, education, culture | Economic opportunity, war, policy |
Natural Increase is the internal growth of a population. A positive rate occurs when births exceed deaths, often leading to a 'population explosion' if the gap is wide.
Net Migration accounts for the movement of people across borders. It is measured per 1000 people and can significantly alter the sex ratio if the migration is gender-biased (e.g., male-dominated construction labor).
Identify the Stage: When presented with a pyramid, look at the base first. A wide base always indicates high fertility, while a narrow base indicates low fertility or an ageing population.
Check for Anomalies: Look for sudden 'indents' or 'bulges'. An indent in a specific age group might suggest a past war or epidemic, while a bulge usually indicates a period of high migration or a 'baby boom'.
Calculate the Dependency Ratio: Remember that the ratio is the sum of those aged 0-14 and 65+ divided by those aged 15-64. A high ratio means the working population is under significant pressure to support the non-working members.
Total Population vs. Structure: Students often confuse a shrinking base with a shrinking total population. A population can still grow even if the base narrows, provided the death rate remains lower than the birth rate.
Life Expectancy Misinterpretation: A tall pyramid does not just mean people live longer; it means a higher proportion of the population is reaching old age due to better healthcare and nutrition.
Ignoring Migration: Do not assume all changes in a pyramid are due to births and deaths. If one side of the pyramid is significantly larger than the other in the 20-40 age range, migration is the likely cause.